Saturday, July 20, 2024

Did India really shot a PAF's F16?

I think it's enough about F16 and Mig21..let me explain you that what exactly happened that day. First let us analyse the statement of GenGhafoor who was DGISPR at that time.
First he said that 3 pilots were in their custody & 2Mig21s were shot but it's quiet funny that Mig21 is a single seater aircraft which means if 2Migs were shot then only 2 pilots would have ejected. 
Then he claimed that 1 plane fell in Kashmir was Su30 but still he said they have the 3 pilots,later statement change and he said 1 pilot has died and 2nd is in their custody..later they also claimed that one of those is an Israeli pilot! But nothing worked.
 
https://eurasiantimes.com/israeli-pilot-arrested-in-pakistan-how-correct-are-the-claims/?amp&__twitter_impression=true

By that time they have stated saying that 1 pilot is dead and second pilot is alive(Wg Com Abhi) but later when they returned Wg Com Abhi(under Geneva Convention) at that time they didn't return the body of the dead pilot(which was also supposed to be given under GC). Image shows that the crash site was tampered by Pak Army and later Ghafoor posted a photograph of 4 missiles — 2 x R-77 and 2 x R-73. The R-73 missile seen burnt on its launcher, is very much there with its seeker head lying loose on extreme right. Locals of POK said that they say 3 pilots coming down and both then planes fell into POK therefore 2 planes were shot on that day so the fact is...the F16 used by Pak was a twin seater aircraft and Mig21 was a single seater which means 3 pilots. Pak says that Su30 fell in Kashmir but the locals said that 2 planes crashed in POK. These frequent changes in their statements shows that something is fishy so now let me come to the actual point. The dead pilot was from PAF before the locals lynched him as they thought he was an Indian because the parachutes used by PAF are C9 parachutes which resembles the National flag of India.
Colours of C9 parachute..(Brown White Green) so locals assumed him to be an Indian pilot. Trajectory of both plans shows that they are different aircrafts and the distance between the crash site is not too big which shows that both planes crashed in POK and these ofcourse proves the Paki claim of shooting down the Su30 wrong
IAF presented radar images of AWACS and those images showed how F16 was shot and remember RADAR IMAGES CANNOT BE MANIPULATED. And after IAF's images PAF also claimed that they have radar images of SU30 going down but they never revealed. 
This also proves the fact that radar images cannot be manipulated 😜  

Hence F16 & Mig21 both were shot!

That's it from my side.

There is another theory that these Pakistani say that US has has said that all their F16s are safe then for them, Pentagon said that they were unaware of that report so now it's up to you whether u want to trust Pentagon or a magazine and btw Pakistan has also bought 2nd hand F16s😉

Thursday, September 23, 2021

Taliban's Impact On India (Pt5)

In the last blog, we discussed that how the Taliban's takeover of Kabul is extremely dangerous for Pak. We discussed that attacks on Pak forces will increase and in reality, things are going that way. Every day TTP and BLA are targeting Pak forces and casualties are in double digits for the Pak army. At least 2-3 blasts or attacks are happening against the Pak army. Durand line is also active and in Aug, 80 Pak soldiers died because of cross-border firings at the Durand line (casualties caused by attacks of other rebel groups are not included). Every day a 'Pulwama-like attack' happens in Pak, especially in Waziristan & Balochistan. Even yesterday Pak army got targeted by TTP & more than 250 Pak soldiers have died fighting the militants in last 3 months.


Now let's talk about today's topic i.e Taliban's impact on India. It's very unlikely that the Taliban will directly involve in terror activities against India as the Taliban wants India to maintain trade relations with us & want India to invest in Afg and the Taliban has also asked India to help in extracting Iron Ore. So Taliban would not like to harm the relations with India as any kind of terror attack on Indian soil will also attract military action of the Indian Armed Forces on Afghanistan. If the Taliban settles & their internal matters are solved soon then they might join hands with different terror outfits like JeM, LeT, etc which will try to infiltrate in Kashmir(the way they used to do in the 90s). Other than Kashmir, other Indian states would be on their hit list like Punjab, Rajasthan, Gujrat, UP & of course Delhi. Since ISIS module and radicalization is at its peak in South so even South India may witness some terror attacks, if not attacks then people of the 'youth' might join different terror outfits (most probably ISIS).
But Taliban will largely stay away from being directly involved in India. They might try to radicalize more and more people in India and may start new terror groups based in Pak with the help of Pro Pak terrorist outfits. 


The situation would be tough to handle for the govt but of course, the Indian intelligence agencies are efficient enough to tackle them and if terrorists try to enter Kashmir then we should just remember the statement of Lt Gen KJS Dillon sir "Kitne Ghazi Aye, Kitne Ghazi Gye". If Pakistan thinks they would get Kashmir like this then they should remember "Dhamki Jihad Ke Naaro Se Hathiyaro Se Kashmir Kabhi Hathiyaloge Ye Mat Samjho" these lines are from our former PM Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ji's poem.

With this note, I would like to take your leave and I thank you for reading I appreciate your time. 

(The Above Blog is based on my analysis of the current developments in Afghanistan & it's open for discussion)

Wednesday, September 1, 2021

Taliban's relations with China & Pak (Pt4)

In the previous blogs we have discussed about the Taliban's capturing of Kabul & Taliban's rule & one of the things which we discussed in the previous blog has come true as the executions have been done of the foreigner journalists, people who helped US for 20 years (interpreter of US was hanged from a chopper & the chopper which was used for hanging was US made Sikorsky UH-60 Black Hawk)
Now coming back to our topic which is Taliban's relations with China & Pak. It's a very common question & everyone would be having ideas based on it & you also might be knowing what things would look like. If I sum up in one sentence then the relationship between Taliban and China/Pak will deteriorate. So first let us discuss their relations with the Chinese. Taliban is a radical Islamic Terrorist group & China is a nation which considers Islam as a 'mental illness' that needs to be 'cured'. It's quite obvious how will their relationship be. But still Taliban currently needs money to run the government & only China is capable enough to provide them cheques of billions of dollars & as we discussed earlier, China has eyes on the natural resources of Afg which are worth more than $3Trillion & China has the capability to extract the resources so that they could take it with them (just like US) & give a share to Taliban. China and Taliban are also in talks to re start all the military equipments inc aircraft which US has left at Kabul airport in dismantled condition. But this doesn't mean that Taliban has forgotten the condition of Uygur Muslim (who are currently under concentration camps). Haqqani's (part of Taliban) has warned China in soft tone that China should take care of their minorities. In this statement what do you think whom is the Haqqani referring to? Ofcourse the Uygur Muslims. All this good Taliban & bad Taliban thing will end when Taliban will secure itself financially. After that we can expect Taliban will support East Turkestan Islamic Movement which would be disastrous for China. China will face long term consequences for their actions and relations with Taliban. But things are even worse for Pakistan. The Pashtoon Nationalism is already at it's peak but now it will rise more. TTP(Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan) which is a subset of Pashtoon movement & an allie of Taliban has increased attacks on Pak army. Taliban has also refused to recognise Durand line as the border between Afg-Pak. Taliban aims for 'Greater Afghanistan' which includes KPK province of Pakistan (the territory in the light green)
To achieve this TTP will play a key role. Even Balochistan (territory in purple) wants independence from Pak as it was forcefully annexed by Pak in 1947 & since then Balochistan wants independence & to suppress them Pak army has gone multiple genocides in Balochistan. Balochistan & KPK both are Pashtoon dominated regions and Taliban is comprised of 99% Pashtoons. So Baloch movement will get help from Taliban and BLA( Baloch Liberation Army) & BLF (Baloch Liberation Front) who are actively targeting Pak army will get support from Taliban. Pakistan expected that they would get a 'Strategic Depth' after the arrival of Taliban but they ended up giving 'Strategic Depth' to BLA, BLF, TTP, etc. There are reports that TTP has CAPTURED Ladha district of Waziristan as Pak army RAN after seeing TTP.

 Even Taliban has started targeting Pak soldiers at the Durand line. Many Pak soldiers have lost their life in last 1 week. Things are going to be even worse for Pak in near future & if we say that Pak would be divided in future then TTP, BLA and most importantly Taliban will play a crucial role in it.

That's it from my side please do let me know your views on this & in the next blog we will discuss Taliban's impact on India and the US factor which we didn't discuss today.

Saturday, August 21, 2021

Taliban 2.0 (Afg series P 3)

Since Taliban has established control over majority of Afghanistan so now it's important for us to know the way Taliban is going to rule Afghanistan. Their way of ruling the land is simple as they have declared that Afghanistan would be governed according to Sharia. This means that women rights would be threatened as according to Sharia women should always wear Burkha & should always accompany a male while going out. Working women would be forced to leave their jobs as Sharia doesn't allow women to work. Majority of Afghanistan would see a series of ban on music, art, TV, radios, cinemas, etc as these things are 'haram' according to Sharia. But it would be difficult that these atrocities would come on the main stream media channels as the Taliban which we would face now is the new version of Taliban. This Taliban is not that Taliban which used to live in caves. This Taliban knows the importance of that location of Afghanistan. This Taliban knows how foreign relations work. This Taliban knows who can be their potential partners and who can help them to sustain their rule over Afghanistan. Taliban's would change it's approach towards the internal & external matters. They will try to whitewash their crimes by not letting it come on the social media as well. They will always talk about women rights, stabilisation of Afg, development, etc but all this would be just for talks because in reality they are against it & history is the proof. Now you may think why would Taliban act like a good organisation? The answer is discussed in the beginning that they want to sustain their rule. They want legitimacy from other nations of the world as till now only Pakistan, China & Iran have recognised Taliban as the ruler of Afghanistan. Taliban needs international recognition. They need funds. They want India to continue it's projects in Afghanistan that's why their leader assured Indian govt that Taliban will provide security to Indian engineers & all Indian nationals. They are doing it because India has invested in Afghanistan for Afghans & since China has given them backdoor support so Taliban will allow China to start it's BRI & CPEC like projects in Afghanistan or China might include Afghanistan in these projects as China had it's eyes on the location, land & the natural resources of Afghanistan which are yet to discover (Afg has more than $3Trillion worth of minerals & resources which are yet to be discovered). We should remember that this Taliban is not the one which we saw during 90s, this Taliban is the one who has it's assets in nations like Qatar & they know the condition of middle east. This Taliban knows Propoganda Warfare & they have the back of China which has PhD in Propoganda Warfare. China spends more than $10B/year just to build it's 'image' as a superpower & also to demoralise & insult it's enemy nation. China has a good hold on almost all media houses in the world (even some media houses of India as well) & these media houses will definitely help Taliban so I think it's very must clear why their warcrimes would largely be hidden from the world. This can be seen even today. Taliban is doing door to door operations in various cities & identify people who used to work for Western nations, NGOs & Afg govt. After identification these people would be executed publicly either by beheading or throwing stones on them till they die. These crimes are not covered in media (reason is obvious now) and hence Taliban is literally killing anyone whom they don't like. This will happen in future. Many Afghan nationalist leaders would be assassinated & there are high chances that Taliban may kidnap & execute the foreigners (especially from the west). Their former President Ashraf Ghani is not safe too & the current President Amrullah Saleh would be on the top of their list {because he relaunched Northern Alliance (topic for another blog)}. Taliban would definitely use these media houses as their 'recruitment agency' & they will try to propagate their ideas to the youths. They will try to portray themselves as  'secular' so that youths of all religion would join them in their Jihad. This would be the life under Taliban rule for the people of Afghanistan.

In next blog we will discuss how US can use Taliban & what relations will Taliban have with Pak (Pashtoon nationalism is at it's peak in Pak & Pak army has time and again tried to stop this moment with force which is not accepted by Taliban)
& China (never forget Taliban is a radical Islamic terrorist outfit & China is behind the killings & ethnic cleansing of Uygur Muslim of Xinjiang province).

Friday, August 20, 2021

US WITHDRAWAL FROM AFGHANISTAN (P2)

So Kabul has collapsed. Taliban has captured Kabul without any resistance from the numerically superior Afghan National Army (ANA) & their president Ashraf Ghani has left Afghan with cars filled with cash along with him. All this happened in just 1 day i.e 15th Aug 2021. This takeover of Kabul has proved all defence analysts of all nations wrong as they have said time and again that ANA won't let Taliban take Jalalabad or Herat easily and it would be a bloodbath for Taliban if they try to take them but what happened in reality is that Taliban captured Kabul along with all these cities WITHOUT any major resistance from ANA. Now the question arises that was Taliban capable enough to do it all by themselves or some 'foreign parties' intervened ? The answer is quite simple, Taliban could have defeated ANA but that would have been at the cost of ten of thousands of casualties & the probability of that to happen was low. So this clearly indicates that Taliban themselves couldn't afford to take Kabul just like that. Someone helped them to secure their interests in Afghanistan & that someone is none other that CHINA. A couple of weeks before the takeover of Kabul, Talibani delegation went to China & met with the Chinese & within a day of Kabul's takeover the Chinese were ready to accept Taliban as the ruler of Afg. This also indicates why ANA didn't put any resistance against Taliban. This was definitely happened because of a backdoor deal between Ghani led  Afghan govt & China. Otherwise who would have given cars filled with dollars to President Ghani and why would ANA not defend the capital? China played a very vital role in it but China is not the only player. Russia & Iran were also key players in this & they had their interests bound with Taliban. Russia obviously wants control over central Asia & which other country would have been so strategically important than🇦🇫. 🇷🇺 & 🇮🇷 also wanted US to be out from Afghanistan as Russia always wanted to embarrass US in Afghanistan just like US did to USSR during the end of cold war & this actually happened as The Fall Of Kabul is now being compared with The Fall Of Saigon (capital of South Vietnam before the reunification of Vietnam after USA's humiliating defeat in Vietnam). Definitely US is experiencing huge international embarrassment & they are also removing the remaining troops (just what Iran wants) along with their diplomats.


In next part of the blog we will discuss what would Taliban 2.0 look like.

Monday, July 26, 2021

My Understanding Of Vijay Diwas!

22 years ago, when the Himalayas rattled and India asked her bravehearts for sacrifice, a battle started between India and Pakistan in 1999. The battle started when Pakistan illegally occupied a decent chunk of India's territory during winters,violating agreements. Indian army got to know about this incident when villagers told army about the movement of troops through the Pakistani side, but when Pak army captured and mutated the body of Cap Saurabh Kalia, the rage in Indian Army was at its peak. It was sure by this time that the Pakistanis have infiltrated our territories, but ofcourse Pakistan was on denial mode. “Operation Vijay(army)” and “Operation Safed Sagar(airforce)” started, Indian Forces were full of courage and were about to create history by the end of this historic battle,a battle which was fought 2,676 m above the sea level. Sacrifices were made to liberate our land and that too without crossing the LOC. In this battle, media played an important role by bringing the battle to the doorsteps of the people and whole nation felt the sacrifice of our soldiers who fought even when they were ill equipped. R&AW played it's role when they showed the world that Pakistan's regular army was also there by releasing the call recordings of Gen Musharraf and Chief of Gen Staff Mohammed Aziz (Room Number 83315) in the public domain. By now it was clear that Pak army was directly involved in this conflict and ultimately thrashing the Pak army out of Indian territory. The operations were declared a success on 26 July 1999 when no intruders were there in Indian territory (alive) . Today on 26 July 2021 we honor the sacrifice of those bravehearts who gave supreme sacrifices 22 years ago during the Kargil War.



Jai Hind🇮🇳

Sunday, July 11, 2021

Jammu: Attack or Diversion

On the night of 27 June, 2 drones attack the Jammu Airforce Station. The next day whole nation was in the state of shock and grief as 2 airforce personnels were injured and at the same time all praised the response of IAF as they managed to avert a much bigger disaster on that night. The target of those drones were definitely the squadrons of the airforce which were present there. Airforce is that branch of the armed forces which holds maximum strategic assets, which generally have the capability to change the course of the war single handedly. These bases are always on the hit list of our adversaries. They use terrorist groups to target such installation.

Now the question arises who must have targeted our AFS (Air Force Station)?

In my opinion I don't think it's Pakistan. Ofcourse their land was used to launch the drones & Brigade Headquarters would have taken the lead but that doesn't mean Pak would have taken the initiative as Pak knows that retaliation would be very harsh like Balakot or even attack on airforce installation can escalate a conflict to war. Now the only country which can fund such attack is China as we all know Pak is a puppet state of China & since China & India are in a state if skirmish so possibilities are high that China must have done this. If China is behind this then it indicated that they might start another Galwan like skirmish but this time it can happen in Arunachal Pradesh & Jammu attack was just a distraction. Since the Jammu attack exposed our vulnerability to drones so we might witness these types of attacks in other parts of India too & this distraction might result in increased terror activities in Kashmir. Now it's high time we should act fast and hope we could avoid such incidents in future by procuring anti drone systems from other nations like Israel or by developing our own system.